Even more confidence-inspiring: before the election, they had discussed what a path to victory for Trump would look like, and their most likely path is what end

Even more confidence-inspiring: before the election, they had discussed what a path to victory for Trump would look like, and their most likely path is what ended up happening: the midwest went for Trump, in a correlated manner, which is exactly what other forecasters had failed to account for properly. If your model can help you predict how it's going to fail, I'm fairly impressed.