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538 had specific probability estimates for hundreds of races both 2016 and 2018, and it’s perfectly possible to evaluate them. In fact, they regularly do so th
by matt4077 8y ago
538 had specific probability estimates for hundreds of races both 2016 and 2018, and it’s perfectly possible to evaluate them.
In fact, they regularly do so themselves: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-fivethirtyeights-2018-midterm-forecasts-did/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-fivethirtyeights-20...