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>> Two outcomes being "extremely possible" What on earth is a professional like Silver doing using the word "extremely" in that context? If I'd have written t
by logifail 8y ago
>> Two outcomes being "extremely possible"
What on earth is a professional like Silver doing using the word "extremely" in that context?
If I'd have written that kind of statement in school, the teacher would have crossed it out in red pen and told me to rephrase.
If I toss a coin, are the outcomes "heads" and "tails" both supposed to be "extremely possible", with "landing on its edge" being merely "unlikely"?
(In case you can't already tell) I'm with Taleb on this one.
- MattHeard 8y agoBoth events are extreme yet possible.
- deleted 8y ago[deleted]
- mannykannot 8y ago> What on earth is a professional like Silver doing using the word "extremely" in that context? Extemporizing while being interviewed on TV, presumably to stress the uncertainty in the prediction, is what he is doing, not writing an HN post, tweet or paper. I suppose that whenever you are interviewed on national TV, you only say exactly what you mean, nothing more and nothing less?
- lozenge 8y agoThere's nothing wrong with extremely likely if defined. Even without a strict definition people have some understanding of what it means. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/what-likely-and-extremely-likely-really-mean-in-climate-speak/article14564689/ https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/what-likely-and-e...