3 ms·
I think you may not be appreciating the subtlety of the repetition of the "probability of rolling a six". His claim is that aleatory probability starts with the
by nkurz 8y ago
I think you may not be appreciating the subtlety of the repetition of the "probability of rolling a six". His claim is that aleatory probability starts with the assumption that you have a standard six-sided die with all sides weighted equally, but that epistemic uncertainty requires accounting for the uncertainty that you have a fair die, or even that it has six sides. So in both cases you are indeed trying to calculate the "probability of rolling a six", but the answers, and the process for creating them, are not the same. So while it might not have been the best phrasing for clarity, he's making a meaningful distinction.
- fhars 8y agoYes, the description is technically correct (the best kind of correct...), but as an explanation it is garbage because it hides the point to be explained behind subtlety.
- mturmon 8y agoYes, agreed. I noticed that potential interpretation, mostly because I already knew the distinction. Now suppose you didn’t already know.
- andrelaszlo 8y agoI didn't know and I had to read that part twice.