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That's not convincing at all. With a set size of billions you'd expect every human statistic to have extreme outliers.
by driverdan 8y ago
That's not convincing at all. With a set size of billions you'd expect every human statistic to have extreme outliers.
- btilly 8y agoIf you don't find that convincing, I don't know what to tell you other than the obvious fact that you must not understand statistics very well. But I'll try. Yes, there should be extreme outliers. But the statistical model predicts how many extreme outliers there should be, and how extreme they are likely to be. When you encounter data points that are more extreme than the model thinks should exist anywhere, it is extremely likely that something different is going on with those examples that is not captured in the rest of the model. Given the photographic evidence, what is going on was fraud. But if it was something else, we'd definitely want to be digging in to figure it out. Incidentally, this is not the only case where fraud has been suspected among records of old people. See https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-11258071 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-11258071 for a much larger case in Japan.