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AI development has hit a plateau in terms of performance and funding saturation. All investment is now expected to deliver some semblance of market performance
by Esai 8y ago
AI development has hit a plateau in terms of performance and funding saturation. All investment is now expected to deliver some semblance of market performance before the great Margin Call of 2019 hits, which means scaling out AI to absurd domains and deploying vast armies of surplus humans to either code or emulate profitable-enough behavior to pass the risk on to the next investor round.
In the end, the Mechanical Turk has gone worldwide with no brakes.
- buboard 8y agoWhat is the evidence for a plateau? The corporate temperaments are irrelevant to the actual progress of the field. If anything , ai systems have not even started being deployed , and the field is even missing a proper theoretical framework. this should indicate that it's still very early stage
- Esai 8y agoThere's a long history of cycles in this field. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter The plateau comes from the problems with vanishing gradients. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vanishing_gradient_problem https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vanishing_gradient_problem