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Will they lose any reputation in any case? There seems to be no career downside to sounding an alarm, whether the calamity occurs or not.
by JasonFruit 8y ago
Will they lose any reputation in any case? There seems to be no career downside to sounding an alarm, whether the calamity occurs or not.
- gameswithgo 8y agoGlobal warming has been proceeding as was estimated back in the ~1980s so how do you know if there is a downside when the calamity does not occur?
- nonbel 8y agoInteresting. Can you give a 1980s source for the prediction matched with current data?
- gameswithgo 8y agogood starting point: https://www.skepticalscience.com/Hansen-1988-prediction-advanced.htm https://www.skepticalscience.com/Hansen-1988-prediction-adva...
- nonbel 8y agoThanks. That is also my favorite prediction paper: https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/1988/1988_Hansen_ha02700w.pdf https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/1988/1988_Hansen_ha02700w.pd...