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Of course Facebook would made this change now. They have the freedom to do this now. They have effectively won social at this point. They control 3 of the bigge

Of course Facebook would made this change now. They have the freedom to do this now. They have effectively won social at this point. They control 3 of the biggest mobile social apps in the world: Instagram, WhatsApp and Facebook itself. No startup really poses a realistic threat to them anymore. This policy change is just FB saving face in the eyes of regulators (and developers like here on HN).

hayksaakian 8y ago
I think you're getting ahead of yourself. TikTok stands a real chance to dethrone them over the next X years.
- sincerely 8y ago
  I thought TikTok was sort of like, Vine mixed with Musical.ly - is it a robust enough offering to do messaging/events/groups/marketplace, etc?
  - lozaning 8y ago
    I dont see my HAM radio group making the transition from FB to TikTok.
  - dgoldstein0 8y ago
    Iirc tiktok is just an evolution of musical.ly
- lozaning 8y ago
  I think TikTok is going to have the staying power of vine. While Im glad for the people that enjoy tiktok type content have an app where they can create and consume this kind of content, it offers no appeal to me.
elliekelly 8y ago
Facebook's market position is certainly enviable but I (perhaps naively) think they will eventually be dethroned. WalMart was the retail king... until Amazon came along. I haven't heard a "WalMart kills small businesses" rant in at least five years. They've been replaced. Facebook will eventually suffer the same fate.
- mike22223333 8y ago
  But there is very little left to innovate. Almost all kinds of apps are there. AGI is only possible by large corps because of the massive compute requirement. The next Google/Facebook will be made when either of the following criteria are met: 1. They mess up hard, causing a critical mass to boycott it (highly unlikely) 2. New world changing communication technology is invented, similar to the internet. With similar applications AND government regulations delaying them from developing on the new technology 3. Processing chips become so fast that the average person is able to afford and run a 1 petaflop computer just like the cost of buying and running a PC's today. Amazon was possible because of the internet. Facebook will remain the King until some communication related world changing technology arrives. The low hanging fruit is already picked.
  - rhizome 8y ago
    But there is very little left to innovate Famous last words.

hayksaakian 8y ago

I think you're getting ahead of yourself. TikTok stands a real chance to dethrone them over the next X years.

sincerely 8y ago
I thought TikTok was sort of like, Vine mixed with Musical.ly - is it a robust enough offering to do messaging/events/groups/marketplace, etc?
- lozaning 8y ago
  I dont see my HAM radio group making the transition from FB to TikTok.
- dgoldstein0 8y ago
  Iirc tiktok is just an evolution of musical.ly
lozaning 8y ago
I think TikTok is going to have the staying power of vine. While Im glad for the people that enjoy tiktok type content have an app where they can create and consume this kind of content, it offers no appeal to me.

elliekelly 8y ago

Facebook's market position is certainly enviable but I (perhaps naively) think they will eventually be dethroned. WalMart was the retail king... until Amazon came along. I haven't heard a "WalMart kills small businesses" rant in at least five years. They've been replaced. Facebook will eventually suffer the same fate.

mike22223333 8y ago
But there is very little left to innovate. Almost all kinds of apps are there. AGI is only possible by large corps because of the massive compute requirement. The next Google/Facebook will be made when either of the following criteria are met: 1. They mess up hard, causing a critical mass to boycott it (highly unlikely) 2. New world changing communication technology is invented, similar to the internet. With similar applications AND government regulations delaying them from developing on the new technology 3. Processing chips become so fast that the average person is able to afford and run a 1 petaflop computer just like the cost of buying and running a PC's today. Amazon was possible because of the internet. Facebook will remain the King until some communication related world changing technology arrives. The low hanging fruit is already picked.
- rhizome 8y ago
  But there is very little left to innovate Famous last words.