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Treasuries (i.e. bonds) are issued for different terms, such as 3-year and 5-year terms. Typically longer term treasuries have higher yields because you're loan
by ellisv 8y ago
Treasuries (i.e. bonds) are issued for different terms, such as 3-year and 5-year terms. Typically longer term treasuries have higher yields because you're loaning your money for a longer period.
The Yield Curve™ is the difference between the yields of two treasuries -- in this article it is the 5-year Treasury note minus the 3-year Treasury note. When this difference is negative that means the 5-year note has a lower yield than the 3-year note.
Investors typically want the highest yield possible, so they'll invest in the 3-year note rather than the 5-year note. A negative spread (difference) can indicate that investors are more confident about the short-term than the long-term.
Note there isn't really a single "Yield Curve". You can take the spread between any two terms of a Treasury note -- e.g. the 30-year and 10-year or the 10-year and 2-year notes. The Federal Reserve provides a spread for the 10-year minus 2-year: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y
- twic 8y agoA yield curve typically means taking not just two instruments, but as many as you can get, so there really is just one yield curve for any given kind of instrument. Although there is enough variety in the details of government bonds that you could argue there is more than one there. The proposition that there is a single yield curve is more obviously true for things like interest rate swaps.