4 ms·
Here's a graph plotting the 10 vs 2 year spread: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y
by acdanger 8y ago
Here's a graph plotting the 10 vs 2 year spread:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y
- Obi_Juan_Kenobi 8y agoGoing off of that graph, we could 'bounce' and remain at non-inverted levels for a few more years as in 1995. But once the rates truly are inverted to a substantial degree, a recession generally follows within a couple years.
- freehunter 8y ago1995 was special, though, since that was the start of the Dotcom boom. Every year after 1995 and before 2000, the Dotcom bubble got bigger and bigger. To bounce like 1995, we'd need an economy like 1995.