Those are very reasonable points to explain the way correct subconscious prediction of success works. I wonder though whether this definition doesn't run the ri

Those are very reasonable points to explain the way correct subconscious prediction of success works. I wonder though whether this definition doesn't run the risk of creating a closed system of thought, i.e one where you can always refute opposing evidence from within the system without being aware that the system is making you incapable of seeing something else. Specifically, any genuine cases of intuition not due to Kahneman's reasoning (if such exist), would never be seen and always attributed to survivor bias (as long as they don't become a statistical anomaly). It's probably difficult to build a case against this reasoning, as it seems quite logical - my first thought as a candidate for a counterexample was claims of "love at first sight". Sure, many of those might end in divorce but does that mean that all the successes are just due to being on the right side of statistics or is there something more going on?