4 ms·
The developer seems to be confused about information asymmetry. For one, cap tables are convoluted and not always available for inspection so it is impossible
by thisisit 8y ago
The developer seems to be confused about information asymmetry.
For one, cap tables are convoluted and not always available for inspection so it is impossible to translate given amount of options into percentage of equity owned. This cannot be solved using a smart contract. A convoluted, complex cap table doesn't automatically become easier to read because "smart contract". As even a junior developer will tell you, there are tons of ways to write a program which looks like one thing but does something else.
While making it public sounds like a good thing, smart contracts and Ethereum EVM is new tech. So, not every employee especially from a non-tech background will be able to read it. So, this basically takes one complex thing and replaces it with other.
Secondly, pricing is not only dependent on cap tables. There are tons of things going on. How profitable is the company? Are they booking revenue front up to make things rosy? etc. and even publicly available information doesn't tell you what price should an ESOP be. Take an example of Uber and Softbank. Some of the stocks were thought to be worth more than others:
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2017-11-16/softbank-thinks-some-uber-shares-are-worth-more-than-others https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2017-11-16/softba...
This information might not be public all the time.
- rudolfix 8y agoSmart contract is exactly how you solve convoluted captables. Currently shareholding is such a mess that for any bigger company you do not even know how many shares are there - rarely they sum to 100%. at least when shares are represented as the tokens you know how many are there and who owns them - at all time. that's already a huge step forward pricing of privately held companies is set by last funding round so you can say it's taken out of the thin air ;> you can also have market valuation if you try to tokenize shares and trade them. does not seem wise for early stage company though also smart contracts do not solve malicious intentions of programmers and business owners, they are just tools and you can write fair self executing options plan or perfect decentralized scam also Ethereum VM is much simpler to learn than commercial law which you (probably) also do not know
- thisisit 8y ago> for any bigger company you do not even know how many shares are there Companies know exactly how many shares are at any given moment. The concept you are looking for is called "outstanding shares". > pricing of privately held companies is set by last funding round so you can say it's taken out of the thin air ;> Read the Uber and Softbank example. It is a good one why funding round doesn't tell you the price. And, funding is not a simple - I gave you $X because the company should be worth $Y. Things can get complicated quickly. Deal can be worth $X because the investor got "preferential shares" which means non-preferred shares are worth less than what you think. This cannot be coded into a smart contract and will still cause information asymmetry. > also Ethereum VM is much simpler to learn than commercial law which you (probably) also do not know That is your opinion. Ask someone who works in finance and they will tell you that learning law is simpler than the VM. In any case, > also smart contracts do not solve malicious intentions of programmers and business owners To put it another way, if people knowingly want a complicated cap table, they can write a complex decentralized contract? So, what is the point of this again?
- netcan 8y agoI think you're right about the naivety. Taking the existing complexity and opaqueness and implementing it in Ethereum isn't really doable. OTOH... I do think that private company equity/ESOP is due some changes. Companies are staying private a lot longer and there are some (like Uber) that now have >$bn ESOP schemes which could be managed in a better way. It's hard. There are a lot of different interests at play, some competing. Purposeful obscurity and such. You'd need to convince these companies to do things differently. In effect, any idea that "does ESOP on Ethereum" is an idea for a stock market of some sort. Not a bad idea, but a big scary one with lots of hard problems (not technically hard) and risk. Naivety might raise your chances. The existence of blockchain is a tool for solving some of them, but Im not sure that it's a pivotal piece. Running centralised would be fine too. Ultimately, a single company originates all the contracts anyway. If I were scheming such a scheme, I'd probably focus on things that aid fundraising.. that's really the purpose of a stock market, which is what a liquid ESOP system is. TLDR: The problem isn't "ESOP needs to be Ethereum." The problem is "companies aren't using the regular stock market, find an alternative."
- thisisit 8y agoI think you have misunderstood what is happening now. Companies are staying private lot longer not because there is some obscurity or different interests etc. They are staying private for the same reason public companies are buying back more and more shares. And giving them another market is not going to help, naivety or not. What is going to help is tightening interest rates and rising yields. It should change the flow. But that's not going to happen in short term. And certainly not with naive blockchain options. That said, a quick google search throws up tons of places to sell your private stakes. Example - EB Exchange (source: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/06/12/uber-insiders-are-eager-to-sell-shares-but-they-cant-find-a-market.html https://www.cnbc.com/2017/06/12/uber-insiders-are-eager-to-s...)
- netcan 8y agoI think we might be misunderstanding eachother. :) I have no opinion on why companies are staying private. But, since they are.. there are big, private ESOP schemes that exist. These lack liquidity. Google will return all sorts of brokers who "arrange liquidity discreetly." But, this is pretty limited, difficult to access, and comes with massive transaction costs. There's a big difference between a sanctioned and efficient way to buy and sell equity & brokers who can make a market for anything.