Looking at wikipedia [0] they also list deaths per billion journeys and per billion hours. Following on from your assumptions, these give the following: At 117

Looking at wikipedia [0] they also list deaths per billion journeys and per billion hours. Following on from your assumptions, these give the following: At 117 deaths per billion journeys, only 256 million would be required, which would be fewer than one journey per person per annum. So lifts are much safer per journey. For 30.8 deaths per billion hours it would be just under a billion hours needed (or 3.25 hours per person per year, ~0.5 minutes a day). I would imagine per minute this would put lifts and air travel at a similar risk per minute. Wikipedia doesn't state if these are for general aviation or just commercial operations, which would skew the numbers considerably. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aviation_safety#Transport_comparisons https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aviation_safety#Transport_comp...