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First: Having nuclear weapons is, for the most part, highly undesirable in a modern geopolitical context, for anyone but a few rogue states. (the ones who fit
by existencebox 8y ago
First: Having nuclear weapons is, for the most part, highly undesirable in a modern geopolitical context, for anyone but a few rogue states. (the ones who fit into the small niche of wanting the tech and having little to lose can trivially achieve it and regularly use it to play the superpowers like a fiddle, see Iran, NKorea, and Pakistan to a lesser extent) In the current world order most small countries would much rather rely on a superpower to "have their back" than attract the undue attention and costs of developing their own nuclear power. (and probably force-of-international-law as well, likely a far more powerful lever in terms of nation state behavior than lack of technology transfer, especially seeing how one can find most of what used to be "nuclear secrets" on the web or via "nation-state-IP-transfer")
"you are expected to avoid helping the other teams win."
This to me describes most of, and most of the darkest, parts and mindsets of human history. Hard as it may seem to believe there's another path, I refuse to resign myself to a nationalist mindset.
And honestly? The short term matters so little to me, outside of selfish concerns. Over the next few thousand years superpowers will come and go entirely regardless of what silly code I write. "winners" and "losers" will be chosen on tectonic scales. But if perhaps a slight bit of increased communication can move human progress forward as a whole over the next millenia? I'll risk much for that goal.
Frankly, I don't see technology as the differentiator you think it is. Overall economic horsepower, yes. Technology, no. Back in the day, the Germans had jets before we did. Better rifles, at the start. Better tanks, too. In the same way, some AI models likely won't make or break a future conflict. The ability to have 300 million people turn their hands to war will.
I'd keep hammering the point as well, that we _have factually loosened crypto restrictions_ and the world has not ended; in fact we've gotten far better consumer crypto utilization that have canonically improved our access to new capabilities, tools and products, and our "great enemies" from the days of restriction aren't suddenly more empowered to talk behind our backs. The whole effort was moot.