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> It only took a small swing to push the vote over the line. With modern elections results often come down to a tiny tipping point. In the UK 2017 election, t
by isostatic 8y ago
> It only took a small swing to push the vote over the line.
With modern elections results often come down to a tiny tipping point.
In the UK 2017 election, tipping the right 400 voters one way or another changes the makeup of government from a DUP backed coalition to a Tory majority[0]. Tipping the other way, and denying a DUP/Conservative coalition, would have taken the right 750 to flip.
Turnout was 32.2 million, and the entire election came down to 1200 voters, 1 in 27,000.
In 2016 if Clinton had flipped about 60,000 votes (the right ones), or about 1 in 2,300, she'd be president.
By comparrison, brexit required a massive swing - 1 in 26 voters.
[0] https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/06/12/theresa-may-just-400-votes-short-majority/ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/06/12/theresa-may-just...