3 ms·
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_succession https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_succession https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem https://e
by olooney 8y ago
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_succession https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_succession
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem
- AstralStorm 8y agoThis presumes conditional independency - violations of which are common. Instead, you get to estimate the dependency between each observation as in advanced variants of Bayes chain rule. Ultimately, some place of the estimator will contain an assumption giving only bounded optimality.