I'm working in an Australian research project (for the Bushfires Crown Research Center) in which we're modeling risk, from bushfires but also earthquakes and fl

I'm working in an Australian research project (for the Bushfires Crown Research Center) in which we're modeling risk, from bushfires but also earthquakes and flooding, using (amongst others) upgrading BAL levels as an intervention option. It's incredible how little is known about bushfire modeling at scales that are relevant for policy making, our work is met with a a lot of interest at e.g. firefighter's conferences. The crux of the issue is though (from a policy perspective) that defending against low recurrance interval events is most cost effectively done by restrictive zoning, which is (politically) a very hard sell. Observed preference is that people actually prefer band aids over real solutions. It's a hard problem.