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Yes and no. While you're technically correct that there are well-accepted principles, they don't always have much bearing on whether a company will be solvent,
by eldavido 8y ago
Yes and no.
While you're technically correct that there are well-accepted principles, they don't always have much bearing on whether a company will be solvent, or easy to finance.
Example 1: Amazon's core retail business. Not very "profitable". Yet, it provides a massive amount of float through their ability to get inventory quickly from suppliers on long payment terms (30-60 days), that's sold to customers in something like 7-14 days with immediate collection. That means Amazon has something like 2-6 weeks cash, at hundreds of billions/revenue per year (8-40 billion in interest-free cash), as effectively an interest-free loan. That might not be profitable but it's very easy to see how that allows cheap financing of capital-intensive investment. Amazon is explicitly run with emphasis on cashflow dynamics (less on profit). It's worked exceedingly well for them.
Example 2: A hotel might run very profitably on a unit basis but require so much upfront capital to finance that it's practically impossible to build.
My point isn't that accounting isn't "real". Money is also in some sense a "shared fiction" [1] and yet it's quite real. It's just that looking merely at accounting profit/loss doesn't really tell you much about the operational dynamics of a company. It took me a really long time to understand this.
[1] From "Sapiens", a great book, explaining the role of fiction in real-world decision-making and beliefs.
- sonnyblarney 8y agoYes, that's the difference between profit and cash flow, basically working capital. I think most people get this, this isn't really one of those magic things. In both cases you've described 'profit' is still 'profit' in the generally accepted sense, and we have cash flow statements to help us understand that.