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I agree with everything in this article right up until the proposed solution. Yes, people need to feel useful, and UBI does nothing to address the fundamental
by dasil003 8y ago
I agree with everything in this article right up until the proposed solution. Yes, people need to feel useful, and UBI does nothing to address the fundamental social problem. However giving everyone tech jobs is not really going to work—I agree anyone can learn to write code to some level of competence, but the problem is that there is not really a big market for the basic level of competence. If you don't have the fundamental curiosity, systematic thinking and famous programmer "laziness", you will never attain the level necessary to go beyond the "bullshit job" level of coder. For example, anyone can learn to code HTML and CSS, but not anyone can build Squarespace, and yet even at minimum wage, it's not cost effective to pay a mass of individuals to create sites manually because it'll be more expensive and lower quality than just using Squarespace. More abstractly: top programmers are capable of automating away the work of lesser programmers, and this balance will worsen significantly if we start trying to push everyone into programming as a basic job.
I know this comes off as elitist and dismissive, but I've been mentoring and training junior programmers for 20 years, and it's just a fact that not everyone is cut out for programming. It's not even about intelligence–there's just something intrinsic that people need to be able to create significant value from programming. And if we assume some kind of general AI or singularity is coming, eventually we will reach a point where no human programmer can create any value over machine-written code. We're not sociologically equipped to deal with these changes, and I think it's going to get a lot uglier before it gets better.