3 ms·
How do I decide which to do? You make it sound simple, but “approve of” is not a simple concept.
by mikeash 8y ago
How do I decide which to do? You make it sound simple, but “approve of” is not a simple concept.
- Spivak 8y agoCompletely serious, no /s here's your strategy. * Get a 5 sided die. * Rank each candidate from 0-5. * For each candidate roll the die and vote for them if your roll is less than or equal to your rank. I very much dislike approval voting because the way to make people the happiest is to turn it into stochastic STAR.
- ClayShentrup 8y agoI think you mean rate, not rank. In any case this is silly. The correct strategy is outlined here. http://scorevoting.net/RVstrat6.html http://scorevoting.net/RVstrat6.html The evidence overwhelmingly shows that Approval Voting works well, arriving at outcomes that represent the will of the people. http://scorevoting.net/BayRegsFig.html http://scorevoting.net/BayRegsFig.html
- Spivak 8y agoCorrect, I meant rate. My strategy isn't about strategic voting, it's how to represent the actual preferences of voters when all you have is approve/not approve.
- AstralStorm 8y agoYou assume most people will vote at random? That is a completely uninteresting case that does not happen in reality. People tend to approve of candidates they know of. Likewise they tend to not approve candidates they do not know of or they dislike for any number of reasons. So these marks are not drawn from random distribution at all.
- Spivak 8y agoAbsolutely not. I'm saying that if in an election using approval voting people carried out my strategy that overall happiness with the results would be higher than if people voted according to the 'normal' instructions. Purely hypothetical, but to me illustrates the point that approval voting destroys valuable information about voter preferences because voters will turn out happier if they encode those preferences in their vote.
- ClayShentrup 8y agoTotal information throughput is about three major factors: - Ballot expressiveness - Strategic voting (which distorts sincere information) - Tabulation efficiency (e.g. IRV has more data on the ballot, but destroys a lot of it due to inefficient tabulation) You are making a common fallacy outlined here. https://sites.google.com/a/electology.org/www/expressiveness https://sites.google.com/a/electology.org/www/expressiveness When you look at total combined information throughput, Approval Voting does exceptionally well. http://scorevoting.net/BayRegsFig.html http://scorevoting.net/BayRegsFig.html
- ClayShentrup 8y agoThat doesn't make sense. Your ballot can NEVER express your actual preferences except in a statistical sense—we can have some probability distribution for the actual preferences that created that Approval ballot. Thus using the standard strategy I mentioned is the most accurate way to convey your preferences. If you want them to appear as honest as possible, you just treat all candidates as equally likely to win, such that the formula simplifies down to your approval threshold being "average utility of all candidates".
- CarVac 8y agoIf you're truly on the line about approving of a candidate then it's exactly the same quandary as being on the line between two candidates in a plurality decided election. There's literally no difference. It's up to you to make your choice.
- mikeash 8y agoIn my hypothetical, I'm not on the line about approving of the middle candidate. I disapprove of them strongly... but I also vastly prefer them to Satan. If Satan and the middle candidate are the only ones with a shot at winning then I absolutely want to vote for the middle one. If the third candidate can win then I don't want to vote for the middle one. If I'm not sure who's viable then I need to figure it out and hope I get it right. It's much simpler in a plurality system. First, I decide if I want to make a statement or a difference. If I want to make a statement, I vote for the candidate I like best and that's it. If I want to make a difference, I choose the candidate I prefer from the two major parties. In the unlikely event that I like them both equally, I can either keep looking until I find a reason to prefer one, or I can abstain knowing that either one is equally good (or bad). Note, I'm not saying this is good, just that it's simple.
- CarVac 8y agoI'm saying that asking that question "should I approve of this candidate" is just as intractable as "who should I vote for" when you're on the line between two candidates. The problem with instant runoff voting is that you can actually be harming your preferred candidate by ranking them ahead of the middle candidate.
- mikeash 8y agoAnd I’m saying that it’s not at all intractable in a plurality system. The closer the candidates are, the less it matters who you choose. In my example, the decision of whether to “approve” of the horrible candidate has enormous stakes.
- 8y ago