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I am not sure those arguments hold so much water. Classic regressions allow you to explain the marginal effects very well. It doesn't matter much how variables
by zwaps 8y ago
I am not sure those arguments hold so much water.
Classic regressions allow you to explain the marginal effects very well. It doesn't matter much how variables are correlated. If you saturate the model with interaction effects, you can get an accurate (in the sense of the model) prediction of the marginal effect of any variable as a function of others. This is very interpretable.
Furthermore, nowadays a lot of techniques are about estimating the causal effects based on assumptions in your data. You could use things like DID or synthetic control, use natural experiments, and so forth, to get a good idea of the causal "treatment effect" of your variable of interest, and you can even do this in a semi-parametric or non-parametric approach.
Often, estimating the linear approximation of the marginal on a conditional expectation is "good enough" to learn how things are connected within your data.
And in the end, getting this sort of causal effect of a variable is what we are really after in environments where the DGP process isn't simple. In that sense, this type of research is very compelling.
Scaling and other issues are of course important, but taking them into account is rather simple...
To be sure, a lot of work (for example in econometrics and elsewhere) is proceeding on causal inference of deep learning models, but it is probably also fair to say that right now, classical models are far easier to interpret, especially if you are interested in answering qualitative questions.