>They would need to quite a bit conservative so that pretty much any new update would be towards faster warming The new updates are subject to the exact same b

>They would need to quite a bit conservative so that pretty much any new update would be towards faster warming The new updates are subject to the exact same bias though, it's not like you should expect it to start biased and then just immediately track towards "honest" results. Think of it as slowly reducing the bias over time, not pegging a starting point and then immediately jumping to "honest" where you expect the changes to fluctuate in a normal-distribution sort of way.