So true. Reality is very complex and usually it's a very fine line between the best approach and the second best approach; there are a lot of factors to conside

So true. Reality is very complex and usually it's a very fine line between the best approach and the second best approach; there are a lot of factors to consider. If someone is overly confident about going in a particular direction, it often means that they haven't thought about it enough. That said there is a big difference between being confident in your abilities and being confident in your arguments.