That's my reasoning as well. A lot of climate change research seems to assume that the only variable is climate, while everything else has to stay the same: in

That's my reasoning as well. A lot of climate change research seems to assume that the only variable is climate, while everything else has to stay the same: in this case cultivated varieties, cultivation techniques, production countries, economic incentives to cultivation, and so on. The world is constantly adapting to changes, often in complex and unexpected ways. I have next to zero faith in the ability of any researcher to correctly predict and rule out the miriad of ways we can adapt to such changes, before a real decrease in supply happens.