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There seems to have been a general uptick in mainstream media warnings of a recession recently. For example the Economist cover last week: “how bad will the nex
by GreeniFi 8y ago
There seems to have been a general uptick in mainstream media warnings of a recession recently. For example the Economist cover last week: “how bad will the next recession be”. I’m not an expert I hasten to add, but before 2008 I also noticed this slow ratcheting up of the focus ahead of the final blow-up. I realise this could be a very biased viewpoint, it’s only a datapoint, but it makes me wonder, if you could track google search terms related to recession over time or appearances in the press, would this be a predictor of actual sentiment and impending recession?
I also wonder if there is a generalized impending sense of doom and investors feeling like they need to exit ahead of a crash.
- GreeniFi 8y agoI just checked google trends, and a very superficial look suggests an upwards trend line over the last 5 years. https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=Recession https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&ge...
- docker_up 8y agoMainstream media has never accurately predicted a crash. In fact, the news articles are great indicators that things will keep going up for at least a year or two.