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It is meaningless, if you want an accurate estimate, or even, say, a 95%-confidence lower bound. But since we like to be pedantic on this forum, I’ll defend th
by comex 8y ago
It is meaningless, if you want an accurate estimate, or even, say, a 95%-confidence lower bound.
But since we like to be pedantic on this forum, I’ll defend the parent: if you want a true, 100%-confidence lower bound (ignoring the possibility of false reports), then that would be 5%. It’s a completely useless statistic, and you shouldn’t use it for anything, but it’s correct for the strictest possible interpretation of “lower bound”.
- dbt00 8y agoAnd if you want a 99.99% confidence upper bound, it's (384-88+19)/384 == 82%. (the .01% is the probability of false negatives in the survey data). Again, pedantic, true, and useless, but cited for balance.