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> The last 50 years of aviation have produced fewer innovations than any single decade in the previous 50 years. Between 1968 and 2014 the average fuel burn of
by hcarvalhoalves 8y ago
> The last 50 years of aviation have produced fewer innovations than any single decade in the previous 50 years.
Between 1968 and 2014 the average fuel burn of new aircraft fell approximately 45% [1]. We also move more people more reliably [2]. That's innovation in my book.
I guess we're just past the "wild designs" phase, and there's an (inherent ?) bias to only think of these as innovation.
[1] https://www.theicct.org/publications/fuel-efficiency-trends-new-commercial-jet-aircraft-1960-2014 https://www.theicct.org/publications/fuel-efficiency-trends-...
[2] https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-aviation-safety/2017-safest-year-on-record-for-commercial-passenger-air-travel-groups-idUKKBN1EQ17F https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-aviation-safety/2017-safes...
- rayiner 8y ago> Between 1968 and 2014 the average fuel burn of new aircraft fell approximately 45% [1]. We also move more people more reliably [2]. That's innovation in my book. When I was in college, that statistic was used to remind people how depressing it was to be a propulsion engineer. It amounts to just 0.8% improvement annually, in the face of billions of dollars in investment each year from P&W, RR, GE, etc.
- pdimitar 8y agoWhile I am not an expert in the terminology I would argue that what you describe is a direct result of the commoditization of aviation, namely optimization and making it economical and safer. Usually new tech goes like this: it is exciting and shiny and new and nobody cares how does it work internally as long as it delivers. But when it gets commoditized, the attention turns inward.