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No method on earth necessarily gives you the right answer to a problem. You first have to represent the problem correctly, of course. Check out Scenario 2 here
by 13415 8y ago
No method on earth necessarily gives you the right answer to a problem. You first have to represent the problem correctly, of course.
Check out Scenario 2 here https://medium.com/@ProfessorF/visualizing-the-solution-to-the-monty-hall-problem-bf4a08c8ed8f https://medium.com/@ProfessorF/visualizing-the-solution-to-t... for a correct tree.
- daveFNbuck 8y agoNeither method guarantees the right answer, but it's a lot easier to get it wrong with a truth table.
- 13415 8y agoMaybe you're right, I'm not fully convinced. I mentioned a full truth table/decision tree because a long time ago these gave me the insight why switching is the right solution in the standard formulation of the problem, and they also illustrate why the problem is a purely deductive/logical problem whose solution does not require any inductive inference. Then, to me it was a valuable lesson to learn that the Monty Hall problem does not reveal any perceived or real fundamental problem of probability theory.