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I can think of some reasons why they might be priced with the expectation of massive growth: - The nascent cloud computing business - The potential to be the
by rbarooah 16y ago
I can think of some reasons why they might be priced with the expectation of massive growth:
- The nascent cloud computing business
- The potential to be the iTunes of books (the kindle store independent of the hardware)
- No serious competitors in terms of becoming the wal-mart of online retail and a huge reservoir of expertise in this area.
The real question is whether this is all now rationally factored into the price.
- cjlars 16y agoIn my eye, ebooks are the big driver here. The core market for the Kindle is older, wealthier individuals (read: investors) and sales revenue from ebooks rose 173% last year, Amazon sells more Kindle books than physical books and so on. It's all pretty impressive to the casual investor, who can feel like he's making a good bet on the 'future of reading'. Even Barnes & Noble, who is shackled by it's physical stores and has falling profits is trading at a generous 23.5 P/E today. I'm passing on AMZN for sure.
- zhyder 16y ago"has falling profits (and) is trading at a generous 23.5 P/E today" 23.5 is not generous at all if the denominator is tiny (coz of the falling profits). P/E is actually pretty meaningless when E is small coz of low margins [1], since small transient changes in margins (e.g. .1% to 5%) can make P/E vary wildly. And it's even more meaningless when E is negative. [1] The exception being when the low margins are steady, and hence predictable.