Good points. > Likewise, if you get a royal flush in a hand of poker, you probably won't get as good a hand next time. I understand what you mean, but I think

Good points. > Likewise, if you get a royal flush in a hand of poker, you probably won't get as good a hand next time. I understand what you mean, but I think that most people who haven't taken a probability class would misinterpret this. A sentence of the form "if [this] then [that]" is usually meant to express dependence. Don't you think that most people would interpret your sentence as: "Because I got a royal flush this time, I probably won't get one next time."? I think the average pop-sci article reader will get confused by this.