4 ms·
So, you don't actually have to regard BG and GB as separate cases if you don't want to. People like to write the outcome space as ordered pairs BB, BG, GB, GG
by zazen 8y ago
So, you don't actually have to regard BG and GB as separate cases if you don't want to.
People like to write the outcome space as ordered pairs BB, BG, GB, GG (ordered by age or whatever else), because this has the advantage that all four outcomes are equiprobable, so you can calculate probabilities just by counting.
If you prefer to regard the outcome space as unordered pairs {B,B}, {B,G}, {G,G} this is absolutely fine: you just have to bear in mind that the prior probability of {B,G} is 1/2, whereas it's 1/4 for the other pairs, so a tiny bit more calculation might be required.
P({B,G}| not {G, G}) = P({B,G})/(P{B,B} + P{B,G}) = (1/2)/((1/2) + (1/4)) = 2/3 as with the other method.