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I did not mean to come across as saying I want escape systems to not work. With space launch systems, any use of escape system is dangerous and best to avoid.
by dba7dba 8y ago
I did not mean to come across as saying I want escape systems to not work.
With space launch systems, any use of escape system is dangerous and best to avoid. I think it will be a long time before aborting/escaping from botched space launch and recovery will be as routine as aborted takeoffs and go arounds.
- mikeash 8y agoJust to compare the two a bit more: NASA’s requirements for the Commercial Crew program (where Boeing and SpaceX are building capsules to visit ISS) is for a loss of crew probability of 1 in 270. Note that this isn’t an abort probability, it’s the probability that everyone dies despite the abort system’s best efforts. The probability for commercial airliners is something around 1 in 100 million.