That corresponds to a 50-65% chance of an event in 6-8 years. That's about the average length of the business cycle. I too am willing to bet that are better tha

That corresponds to a 50-65% chance of an event in 6-8 years. That's about the average length of the business cycle. I too am willing to bet that are better than even odds of an "event" in the next 6 years. I expect my prize will be in the mail.