> "It is raining, but I don't believe it is raining" "but I don't believe it is raining" is a personal belief that can be defined as personally assigning >50%

> "It is raining, but I don't believe it is raining" "but I don't believe it is raining" is a personal belief that can be defined as personally assigning >50% probability that it is not raining. "It is raining" is a fact. A fact can be defined in this context as something that I believe that a great majority of my collaborators believe is true. Or even something that my group I identify with decided is true. Therefore I act within the group as if it is raining in order to be constructive member of the group and collaborate efficiently. When an opportunity arises I might argue with the group to advocate and confront my belief. Sometimes though it is more efficient to just take an umbrella like everybody else than argue. Especially if a cost of taking umbrella is small relative to a potential loss if it really is raining. Therefore "it is raining" become a shortcut to "I believe I should act as if it is raining" which doesn't contradict "I don't believe it is raining". There is an analogues Sam Harris' example that can be rephrased as: "Gun is loaded, but I don't believe gun is loaded". Same can be said about the God.