> So, the divorce rate’s decline isn’t a reflection of a decline in marriages. Under some basic assumptions, this could still be. E.g. if couples that have be

> So, the divorce rate’s decline isn’t a reflection of a decline in marriages. Under some basic assumptions, this could still be. E.g. if couples that have been married longer are more likely to stay married, lower new marriage rate would result in proportionally more old marriages and hence lower divorce rate. E.g. if people are less willing to marry, more of those who marry would be marrying for a "good" reason (i.e. because they're more sure they're compatible, or because they follow a religion where divorce is bad).