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Framed in terms of "the logic of political survival," a more useful characterization would be, "technology X will reduce the size of the coalition of people nec
by motohagiography 8y ago
Framed in terms of "the logic of political survival," a more useful characterization would be, "technology X will reduce the size of the coalition of people necessary to achieve power, and the size of the group who must be rewarded to maintaintain it."
Based on that, you could run most smaller countries with a resource revenue stream to pay police to make examples, and Google data to find them.
Sounds horrific, but we may live at the edge of some very dark times.
I have a bunch of notes for an article pitch about how AI/ML tech could easily create resource cursed economies and governance (akin to Jeffery Sachs description), but don't want to wade into writing again yet.
- djpr 8y ago> I have a bunch of notes for an article pitch about how AI/ML tech could easily create resource cursed economies and governance (akin to Jeffery Sachs description), but don't want to wade into writing again yet. Sounds like an important subject though. Any chance you can share or will post an outline of your thoughts? For me, the most interesting problems are governance & economic development models. It's obviously broken and it's obviously being supplemented by corporations to AI, so I'd appreciate your thoughts on this.
- motohagiography 8y agoI could really be a bore on this. Short version is DeMesquita describes the underlying mechanism of the effects Sachs observes, and if you switch in AI/ML for oil or mineral wealth in Sachs model, you can make predictions about some of those consequences using DeMesquita. Long version involves introducing and describing the relationship between their ideas. DeMesquita gets rejected as being too abstract, but his model has useful predictive power.