I don't think the concept of what a bifurcated/multiple internets is has really been clarified. China's internet is the most split, but it is still technically

I don't think the concept of what a bifurcated/multiple internets is has really been clarified. China's internet is the most split, but it is still technically connected and operates on a blacklist system. I think what we're really seeing is a reenvisioning of where an internet services is considered to be operating, and governments are saying that, even if your servers are in the US, you may be considered to be operating in the EU, which is new, but also doesn't imply that we're going to cut the cables, because governments are usually ok with post-hoc enforcement efforts, rather than preventative measure. This could change if people try to undermine the laws. As with many things on the world stage, the results will depend on how powerful each negotiating entity is. Russia has it's own search engine and could probably just turn off Google, etc. Turkey not so much; they don't need to roll over and take what Google provides, but they could find themselves aligning with Chinese or Russian service providers if Google refuses to do what they want. So I think this sort of power blocks model is more likely than a national borders model in any case.