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> For Instance The service oriented jobs in India like Customer support and Offshore Software development cannot be yet replaced by AI Customer support is trou
by candiodari 8y ago
> For Instance The service oriented jobs in India like Customer support and Offshore Software development cannot be yet replaced by AI
Customer support is troubleshooting driven ? Heh. You must not have used it for a while.
But aside from that. Let's say that it is. That essentially consists of 2 problems:
1) voice recognition
2) query answering based on freeform text
(1) is solved, (2) is proving a little tougher, but pretty nice progress is being made.
> The automation in manufacturing can replace some redundant jobs but not all of them
Sure, at this point AI is slowly becoming a force multiplier for manufacturing. What a factory can do with one employee will steadily go up.
The issue is that currently this multiplier will kill a LOT of jobs. Let's say an employee productivity doubles (you only need 1 employee to do what 2 used to do), how many jobs does that destroy ?
About a billion.
Granted, it will take 15-30 years for that to actually happen, but there'll be an initial spike (let's say rapidly dropping 100 million jobs) and a slower but steadier increase over time until we hit that number.
Of course over 30 years the multiplier is not going to be 2, but hundreds. So another 30 years after that, manufacturing will have 2-10% of the population employed, no more, like agriculture today.