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Anyone interested in understanding randomness should endeavor to understand what probability actually is. As a Bayesian I think that probability is not a proper
by samd 16y ago
Anyone interested in understanding randomness should endeavor to understand what probability actually is. As a Bayesian I think that probability is not a property of any object but rather a subjective measure of your own confidence, your own knowledge. To say something is random is just to say that you lack enough information to predict any one outcome over another. But everything could be predicted perfectly (barring quantum events) with enough knowledge. If I knew that a coin was weighted to favor heads my degree of belief in the outcome of the toss would become stronger. The probability for me would become, say, 75% heads, while for the observer without such knowledge it would be 50%.
Here's a good article on probability theory for those interested: http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/probability-interpret/ http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/probability-interpret/