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This is what bothers me about many business books. It’s easy to look at the winners and say, in hindsight, that the key to their success was X, then find a few
by gk1 8y ago
This is what bothers me about many business books. It’s easy to look at the winners and say, in hindsight, that the key to their success was X, then find a few failures and, again in hindsight, say they failed because they didn’t have X. See: “Good to Great.” I’ll be impressed when any of these experts could predict the winners and losers in advance.
- jaclaz 8y agoIn Italy we say "con il senno di poi ..." that translates to "in hindsight" or "in retrospect" but that literally means "with the wits (or wisdom) of afterwards" that somehow is more expressive. These experts are very good to pick good examples and make "vague" predictions - not entirely unlike economists and astrologists (not exactly the same category, but seemingly very, very similar in accuracy) - the key problem remains the oversimplification in attributing the success (or failure) of anything (particularly such a complex item as a car or a computer product) to a single (or a handful of) reason(s). JFYI, here is Armand Gracious' take on the Internet, Linux and security: https://www.dedoimedo.com/computers/experts.html https://www.dedoimedo.com/computers/experts.html