5 ms·
I can't read this paywall article, but here are some similar counterpoints to hype, starting in 2016. They are from people actually working on self-driving tec
by chubot 8y ago
I can't read this paywall article, but here are some similar counterpoints to hype, starting in 2016. They are from people actually working on self-driving technology or executives/investors close to it. (I'm interested in any earlier "expectation setting", having heard a lot of this at Google.)
March 2016:
Chris Urmson: How quickly can we get this into people's hands? If you read the papers, you see maybe it's three years, maybe it's thirty years. And I am here to tell you that honestly, it's a bit of both.
https://spectrum.ieee.org/cars-that-think/transportation/self-driving/google-selfdriving-car-will-be-ready-soon-for-some-in-decades-for-others https://spectrum.ieee.org/cars-that-think/transportation/sel...
https://mondaynote.com/autonomous-cars-the-level-5-fallacy-247ae9614e14 https://mondaynote.com/autonomous-cars-the-level-5-fallacy-2...
----
April 2017:
It will be 25 years before self-driving cars take off in America, says early Uber investor Bill Gurley
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/06/bill-gurley-uber-investor-self-driving-cars-25-years-away-in-us.html https://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/06/bill-gurley-uber-investor-se...
----
October 2017:
https://medium.com/self-driven/a-decade-after-darpa-our-view-on-the-state-of-the-art-in-self-driving-cars-3e8698e6afe8 https://medium.com/self-driven/a-decade-after-darpa-our-view...
Those who think fully self-driving vehicles will be ubiquitous on city streets months from now or even in a few years are not well connected to the state of the art or committed to the safe deployment of the technology. For those of us who have been working on the technology for a long time, we’re going to tell you the issue is still really hard, as the systems are as complex as ever.