4 ms·
I love the term "Fermi problem", because the origin is, of course, the Fermi paradox. The idea that multiplying a series of uncertainties together does somethi
by dogecoinbase 8y ago
I love the term "Fermi problem", because the origin is, of course, the Fermi paradox. The idea that multiplying a series of uncertainties together does something other than blow your error range out is such a weird idea.
- rumcajz 8y agoRelated: https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.02404 https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.02404
- MagnumOpus 8y ago> The idea that multiplying a series of uncertainties together does something other than blow your error range out is such a weird idea Might seem weird but it is massively useful. Having an educated estimate that is _only_ out by an order of magnitude is a massive improvement over wild-ass guesses that are 4-5 orders of magnitude off -- especially in systems design where over- or under-provisioning leads to millions wasted in effort.