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Even if completely true, that technology will probably come too late for cars. With the current production (and sales) of Tesla, other carmakers have had to rea
by choeger 8y ago
Even if completely true, that technology will probably come too late for cars. With the current production (and sales) of Tesla, other carmakers have had to react one or two years ago (and it looks like they did).
Expect an increase in the production and sale of EV by a factor of ten in the next five years, barring a global economic crash. That scale should easily drive down the cost of conventional LiIon cells below the cost of gasoline engines (you will probably be paying around 100$/kw/h or even less).
In such a scenario there is not much room to develop and scale a brand new technology. It could be interesting for planes though.
- cpmsmith 8y agoIs there really that much free economy to get from scale? LiIon cells are hardly a niche good as it is. The whole gold rush around batteries right now seems specifically trying to get out in front of that demand.
- DennisP 8y agoCost isn't the only factor. There's a limit to how much battery you can physically cram into the car. If a new technology can give you 2-3X more range for the same volume of battery, cars made with that will have a competitive advantage. It might be more expensive at first but you do the same thing Tesla did: start with expensive cars and work your way into higher volume.
- threeseed 8y ago> that technology will probably come too late for cars Why ? Have I missed something where electric cars are done as a industry and the technologies we have today will be the status quo for future iterations. Because the way I look at it the era of electric cars is just beginning and great that Tesla has helped to validate the market/technology but they aren't what we will all will/want to be driving.
- airstrike 8y agoAuto manufacturers release new car platforms every couple years, so I'm not sure what your point is...