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> The argument also depends on several assumptions about the way this technology will work, which are likely to be wrong (e.g. that price of extending life will
by village-idiot 8y ago
> The argument also depends on several assumptions about the way this technology will work, which are likely to be wrong (e.g. that price of extending life will never be reduced enough to be available to poorer people, that having more time to learn, won't help poor people to become richer, that reduction of the fraction of resources spent on reproduction won't help society to become more stable and more wealthier).
I think you’re being overly optimistic. First of all, we already have a society where the rich have access to life extending services. The life expectancy gap between the rich and poor is 20 years[0] in the United States. While in theory we absolutely could provide this to the poor and they would probably accumulate wealth and reproduce more slowly, politically and socially I see zero evidence that this would happen.
Second, the price for a life extending treatment will be arbitrary. How much do you think a company that can tack 30 years onto your lifespan will charge? Again we could force them to sell cheap, but we can’t prevent ERs for charging $200 for aspirin, the political will just isn’t there.
> Accepting this line of reasoning means accepting that there are situations where society is allowed to kill some people for some greater good, which is deeply wrong.
A good point. However I’m a utilitarian at heart, if trading the rich only having 80 years keeps us from going into revolution or neufeudalism, I am will to accept that trade, even if I’m in the group who could probably afford said treatments.
> But even the worst case scenario, when everything on earth belongs to old people, is actually good, because it means there is more incentive for other people to go explore other planets and stars!
Or wealth could concentrate into few hands, and people could start binding themselves to richer patrons to guarantee access to life saving food and medicine, and the world descends into neufeudal torpor. Humanity has killed off massive amounts of itself for dumber reasons, don’t assume that a new tech will lead to your desired outcome just because it’s futuristic.
0. https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/inequality/2017/may/08/life-expectancy-gap-rich-poor-us-regions-more-than-20-years https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/inequality/...
- SamReidHughes 8y agoNo, that's the life expectancy gap between different counties. There are plenty of poor people in the nicely blue LA County.
- village-idiot 8y ago15 years if you don't separate out by county. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/apr/06/us-healthcare-wealth-income-inequality-lifespan https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/apr/06/us-healthcar.... Even if you stick with the article I linked above, living in a poor part of the US takes 20 years off your life expectancy, which is still my point. The US can and does restrict the poor from access to resources that will add decades to their lives.
- SamReidHughes 8y agoThe U.S. doesn't restrict the poor from access to anything, besides illegal drugs. We can already tell from the Oregon health care experiment that access to Medicaid doesn't really matter the way you'd be expecting. What drives life expectancy gaps is what you put in your body, what you do with your body, and, especially with the bottom 1%, causation in the other direction, which is the effect of bad health on your income. It's literally impossible for a healthy person to be in the bottom 1% by income unless they choose not to work. So you're comparing regular rich people to a set of people that pretty much by definition have major substance abuse and health problems. If other countries have better stats in this regard it's because they've less opportunity for functional people to pull themselves out of the bottom 1%.
- village-idiot 8y agoThere’s no functional difference between “you can’t have this” and “this is too expensive for you”. Neither affects my original point in the slightest. “The poor do it to themselves” is an argument that you can take back to the Victorian era where it belongs.
- SamReidHughes 8y agoIn the terms of drinking, smoking, and obesity, they in fact do. That's the real world you live in. We already do have healthcare programs for the bottom 1%, like Medicaid. A better analysis would be to compare the overall population variance in life span, between different countries or years. This gives a direct measurement of how unequal life outcomes are, instead of being affected by the way the economy sorts people into wealth brackets.