Yes, it's very frustrating when someone reports an absolute number without any idea of the base rate. Given that everyone dies of cancer if they live long enou

Yes, it's very frustrating when someone reports an absolute number without any idea of the base rate. Given that everyone dies of cancer if they live long enough to, how are we supposed to know whether 15 deaths in 17 years is more or less than you'd naively expect? It doesn't seem very high?