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Do you know the one thing all great mega-powers of the past have in common? They no longer exist. Ceasing to strive to be the best and greatest at everything is
by TangoTrotFox 8y ago
Do you know the one thing all great mega-powers of the past have in common? They no longer exist. Ceasing to strive to be the best and greatest at everything is not 'growing up', it's resting on your laurels. There's much more than just bragging rights to being 'first, bigger, best'. Technology is what dictates and drives society. If Germany or Japan (or Italy or ...) had developed nuclear weapons before the US, the world would be quite a different place today. If North Korea had not developed nuclear deterrence, Kim would now likely rest alongside Gadaffi and Hussein.
And while it's now easy to say in hindsight 'Well, [insert new form of bigger, better, badder] is not particle physics.' This is true, but at time nobody knew where particle physics would take us. The idea of bomb the size of a small table that could destroy entire cities is something that would have seemed impossible before the US worked to to become 'bigger, better, badder' in what was at one time mostly theoretical particle research.
The worst part of this all is that while we don't know the future, we do have a very good idea of where it's headed. Space is likely where the nest greatest achievements and breakthroughs will come from. But predicting how or where is going to be all but impossible, which is why working to be the king of all pursuits is critical. China is headed straight in this direction. They have not matched our technical skills yet, but at the time when we were conquering the world through technology and taking the baby steps into the computer age -- China was a backwoods nation where people were literally starving to death by the tens of millions. That they're now the second most powerful nation in the world, pushing forward technology and development at an unprecedented rate, is way more than enough reason to believe that one should not underestimate their resolve and ability.
- cjslep 8y agoI think this is a pretty rose-tinted look with hindsight bias. The USSR was pretty driven to be "the best" right up to their demise. North Korea existed for half a century because China intervened in the Korean War and MacArthur's warmongering got him ousted, not nuclear deterrence. Finally, the idea of a "city-wiping bomb the size of a suitcase" was well understood by all nations with advanced physicists, not just the US: so the Nazi regime was also very close to having a completed nuclear bomb.
- dnomad 8y agoThe irony behind all of this is that to the neoliberal mindset China's extraordinary willingness to invest in pure research is some sort of Communist plot. Literally, discussions just a few weeks ago about China taking the lead on R&D spending in 2019 [1] and having that lead become "indefinite" by 2025, break down (not unlike this thread) into mindless accusations against Big Government. Of course the Chinese will tell you China is just doing exactly what the West did post-War when huge government investments in science and technology provided transformative wealth that gave Westerners the best quality-of-life in the world. The real story here is that while China's strategy is risky -- there's no guarantee all this investment will pay off -- you could argue the neoliberal strategy is even riskier. Technology tends to be a winner take all affair and it's very often the first to market that wins. [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-00536-1 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-00536-1