It depends on what level you're playing at. If you have access to capital and social connections then yes you need to play smart in order to succeed. If you're

It depends on what level you're playing at. If you have access to capital and social connections then yes you need to play smart in order to succeed. If you're some random person with no access to capital or social connections then your focus should be luck. As a random person who started with no social connections and no capital, I think about luck all the time and it helps me to make decisions. Mostly, it helps me to weigh up future opportunities against current opportunities - I think about things that happened to me and I ask myself how unlikely they were to occur; if they were very unlikely, I try to stay on that unlikely path. Never waste your luck; you have to keep moving forward wherever it takes you. Sometimes it leads you to places you don't want to be, but beggars can't be choosers.