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“The human fingerprint on rising temperatures was clear in the heatwave this year,” said Michael Mann, a professor of atmospheric science at Penn State Universi

by delbel 8y ago

“The human fingerprint on rising temperatures was clear in the heatwave this year,” said Michael Mann, a professor of atmospheric science at Penn State University. the famous "hockey stick" actor was exposed using temperature adjustment code with a comment called "fudge factor" to "hide the decline" that we found out from climategate leak In two other programs, briffa_Sep98_d.pro and briffa_Sep98_e.pro, the "correction" is bolder by far. The programmer (Keith Briffa?) entitled the "adjustment" routine “Apply a VERY ARTIFICAL correction for decline!!” And he or she wasn't kidding. Now IDL is not a native language of mine, but its syntax is similar enough to others I'm familiar with, so please bear with me while I get a tad techie on you. Here's the "fudge factor" (notice the brash SOB actually called it that in his REM statement): yrloc=[1400,findgen(19)5.+1904] valadj=[0.,0.,0.,0.,0.,-0.1,-0.25,-0.3,0.,-0.1,0.3,0.8,1.2,1.7,2.5,2.6,2.6,2.6,2.6,2.6]0.75 ; fudge factor https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/11/crus_source_code_climategate_r.html https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/11/crus_source...

tonysdg 8y ago
Not to be rude, but the science appears to be against you here. Wikipedia covers the "hockey stick controversy"[1] in rather meticulous detail, with the end of the introduction noting: > More than two dozen reconstructions, using various statistical methods and combinations of proxy records, have supported the broad consensus shown in the original 1998 hockey-stick graph, with variations in how flat the pre-20th century "shaft" appears.[12][13] The 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report cited 14 reconstructions, 10 of which covered 1,000 years or longer, to support its strengthened conclusion that it was likely that Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the 20th century were the highest in at least the past 1,300 years.[14] Over a dozen subsequent reconstructions, including Mann et al. 2008 and PAGES 2k Consortium 2013, have supported these general conclusions. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hockey_stick_controversy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hockey_stick_controversy
- delbel 8y ago
  Hi thank you, I don't think your comment was rude in fact it was one of the nicest interactions of my day I do, however disagree. The source you gave me, specifically ... "Over a dozen subsequent reconstructions, including Mann et al. 2008 and PAGES 2k Consortium 2013, have supported these general conclusions." subsequentally refers to the same exact persons ("Mann et all") data that I am referring to, -- so to speak, we have come full circle: my source shows a flaw, your argument refers to the flawed data, as true. Do you see this? I am pointing to data showing Manning doctored the data, and you are giving me the same doctored data as proof. I would be honored if you understand my point here. Also I encourage you to read the link [1] and find any flaws. I encourage you to engage critical thinking and play a "contrarian" view on the subject matter. You might be extremely surprised to what you find. 1. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/11/crus_source_code_climategate_r.html https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/11/crus_source...
danjoc 8y ago
Mann did finally admit to being wrong about the hockey stick. >We conclude that model overestimation of tropospheric warming in the early twenty-first century is partly due to systematic deficiencies in some of the post-2000 external forcings used in the model simulations. https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2973 https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2973
- delbel 8y ago
  > external forcings used in the model simulations you can read the code that does the "external forcings" and see the comment "fudge factor". I'm just reading their source code.
  - danjoc 8y ago
    That was obvious 15 years ago. It didn't matter to them then either. What mattered was the test of time. The model failed so badly, Mann himself could no longer support it. I just thought you'd like to know that Mann quietly disavowed the model, since nobody has been allowed to add that to the wikipedia page. Nuclear shills are still trying to convince everyone that CO2 is more dangerous than radioactive waste. Nothing changes with them.
DmenshunlAnlsis 8y ago
You need to keep up with the denialism cutting edge, they’ve given up on attacking the incontrovertible science, and are pivoting to defeatism, “global greening” and other versions of “it’s happening, so what?” Get with the times man!... And That website is bizarre! A bit of climate denialism, a dash of pro-lifer, and just a soupson of islamophobia. Charming. To be charitable though, I don’t necessarily blame people for looking at the magnitude of the problem and deciding to go deeply into denial. With the dearth of hope and workable solutions, pretending that there is no problem and attacking old numbers probably feels better than the alternatives. What I can’t forgive or stand though, are people who deny because the solutions are politically unpalatable to them. A better read than “American Thinker” would be https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/nov/29/new-study-uncovers-the-keystone-domino-strategy-of-climate-denial https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97... https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change (Especially the many and varied citations) https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/ https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/ https://www.csicop.org/si/show/the_consensus_on_anthropogenic_global_warming https://www.csicop.org/si/show/the_consensus_on_anthropogeni...

by delbel 8y ago

tonysdg 8y ago

Not to be rude, but the science appears to be against you here. Wikipedia covers the "hockey stick controversy"[1] in rather meticulous detail, with the end of the introduction noting: > More than two dozen reconstructions, using various statistical methods and combinations of proxy records, have supported the broad consensus shown in the original 1998 hockey-stick graph, with variations in how flat the pre-20th century "shaft" appears.[12][13] The 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report cited 14 reconstructions, 10 of which covered 1,000 years or longer, to support its strengthened conclusion that it was likely that Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the 20th century were the highest in at least the past 1,300 years.[14] Over a dozen subsequent reconstructions, including Mann et al. 2008 and PAGES 2k Consortium 2013, have supported these general conclusions. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hockey_stick_controversy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hockey_stick_controversy

delbel 8y ago
Hi thank you, I don't think your comment was rude in fact it was one of the nicest interactions of my day I do, however disagree. The source you gave me, specifically ... "Over a dozen subsequent reconstructions, including Mann et al. 2008 and PAGES 2k Consortium 2013, have supported these general conclusions." subsequentally refers to the same exact persons ("Mann et all") data that I am referring to, -- so to speak, we have come full circle: my source shows a flaw, your argument refers to the flawed data, as true. Do you see this? I am pointing to data showing Manning doctored the data, and you are giving me the same doctored data as proof. I would be honored if you understand my point here. Also I encourage you to read the link [1] and find any flaws. I encourage you to engage critical thinking and play a "contrarian" view on the subject matter. You might be extremely surprised to what you find. 1. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/11/crus_source_code_climategate_r.html https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/11/crus_source...

danjoc 8y ago

Mann did finally admit to being wrong about the hockey stick. >We conclude that model overestimation of tropospheric warming in the early twenty-first century is partly due to systematic deficiencies in some of the post-2000 external forcings used in the model simulations. https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2973 https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2973

delbel 8y ago
> external forcings used in the model simulations you can read the code that does the "external forcings" and see the comment "fudge factor". I'm just reading their source code.
- danjoc 8y ago
  That was obvious 15 years ago. It didn't matter to them then either. What mattered was the test of time. The model failed so badly, Mann himself could no longer support it. I just thought you'd like to know that Mann quietly disavowed the model, since nobody has been allowed to add that to the wikipedia page. Nuclear shills are still trying to convince everyone that CO2 is more dangerous than radioactive waste. Nothing changes with them.

DmenshunlAnlsis 8y ago

You need to keep up with the denialism cutting edge, they’ve given up on attacking the incontrovertible science, and are pivoting to defeatism, “global greening” and other versions of “it’s happening, so what?” Get with the times man!... And That website is bizarre! A bit of climate denialism, a dash of pro-lifer, and just a soupson of islamophobia. Charming. To be charitable though, I don’t necessarily blame people for looking at the magnitude of the problem and deciding to go deeply into denial. With the dearth of hope and workable solutions, pretending that there is no problem and attacking old numbers probably feels better than the alternatives. What I can’t forgive or stand though, are people who deny because the solutions are politically unpalatable to them. A better read than “American Thinker” would be https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/nov/29/new-study-uncovers-the-keystone-domino-strategy-of-climate-denial https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97... https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change (Especially the many and varied citations) https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/ https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/ https://www.csicop.org/si/show/the_consensus_on_anthropogenic_global_warming https://www.csicop.org/si/show/the_consensus_on_anthropogeni...