5 ms·

We are entering Crash Territory. 100+ years of the same general pattern; meaning an economic "correction" is coming soon.

• conanbatt 8y ago
  I see you like predicting 10/3 recessions.
  • tabtab 8y ago
    I'm not following. It's Occam's Razor: what's more likely: A) We will set a record bull market & recovery duration, or B) We'll hit a recession soon. Further, the yield curve is also near an inversion, another common pattern preceding recessions.
    • conanbatt 8y ago
      Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
      • tabtab 8y ago
        Various metrics have predicted the majority of slumps for about 100 years. That's like every hour, not "twice". I don't believe the pattern of slumps is random: it's roughly a decade cycle. Inverting yield curves, PE ratios above average (using long-term earnings), and bull market duration all point to a likely pattern.