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> it would even encourage people to do work they like to do instead of what makes them the most money But clearly this doesn't play out with the farmers in que

> it would even encourage people to do work they like to do instead of what makes them the most money But clearly this doesn't play out with the farmers in question here! They are not freed from the shackles of work for a year or three, busily following their passion. They are committing suicide. That isn't to say that the majority go in that direction, but its enough to measure, and should be enough to give us pause I think. The majority of men on UBI-like programs seem to watch TV and take drugs, and not follow passions. I've written a fair bit about UBI and contrasting it with basic jobs, here: https://medium.com/s/story/after-universal-basic-income-the-flood-217db9889c07 https://medium.com/s/story/after-universal-basic-income-the-... Related to this discussion see the section, "The Existential Problem", and if you have the time I suggest you read the two articles (NPR 'unfit for work' and Commentary Mag 'our miserable 21st century') that I link to in that section. Not in the above article but broadly speaking, the work disincentive for UBI tests so far is about 10%. That is, 10% of the people given something like UBI will drop out of the labor force and not do any kind of (measurable) work. Some % of that 10% will go on to commit suicide, I imagine, like the farmers here. Citations for the ~10% figure can be found here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17666307 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17666307 Something about being given money and having no work to do, plus no community or purpose, does not cause people to create community or purpose. My fear here is that instead of working towards making sure people can, somehow, create more community and purpose, we're taking the one thing many people find meaning in (work) and pulling the rug out from under them on it, like we are possibly doing to the farmers here. Sorry, having a hard time being succinct. What I am suggesting is that we have got to solve this "no community or purpose" issue before we solve the "money" issue. It's bigger, and if we don't, we might not like the future very much.

crooked-v 8y ago
Describing disability benefits as "UBI-like programs" seems way off the mark to me, starting with "welfare cliff" problems and going from there.
rootusrootus 8y ago
Perhaps a difference with UBI would be the ubiquitousness of it. You'd know way before you even entered the job market what the score was. Thanks for the links in your other post, I will take a look. I admit that I have Star Trek dreams of post-scarcity happiness, but I'm willing to change my mind if there is credible evidence to suggest my hopes are misplaced. I wasn't aware that there were any decent UBI experiments that had been done at scale, lately they all seem to be very limited and aborted early. Maybe I'll just have to scale back and pin my hopes on Medicare For All. Would be nice to detach medical coverage from employment, IMO.
- simonsarris 8y ago
  > I admit that I have Star Trek dreams of post-scarcity happiness I think a lot of us, here on Hacker News, do. I kinda worry that's part of the problem. But you and me and Sam Altman, etc, are not representative of society at large. I was thinking of the HN crowd (myself included) when I wrote this part: > Just as you can find Silicon Valley techies who think Soylent is the only sustenance a person will ever need, intellectuals tend to think everyone could be as content as they would be living life in their heads or inventing their own destiny. Most people need to be doing something to feel satisfied and a potential UBI system addresses this need just as inadequately as disability checks do now. Cue drug epidemics. I think average people need more direction than that. I don't think that's a bad thing, but I think its a much more serious problem than the average person's relationship with money. Put another way, the problems of today and the near future are not primarily ones of money. They are ones of community and meaning. By most available data, even the poorest in the USA are doing OK on the money front, though its obviously not ideal! Some cites on that claim can be found here: https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/937200378919055360 https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/937200378919055360 So I worry UBI is solving the wrong problem first, and might make the real problem a little or a lot worse, depending on how the job landscape changes.
michaelscott 8y ago
The case of the farmers is not the same as UBI. The farmers are not being freed from the shackles of work, they're shackled to not working. UBI doesn't exclude the ability to do what you've trained and often lived for since, as in the case of many farmers, they were young.
jrnichols 8y ago
Way off topic, but I have noticed that Medium is now doing that "you have 4 free articles.." garbage now too, which is very disappointing. The article you linked to has 2 parts, and while it was interesting, there went 2 of my 3 "free" articles. I cannot afford $5/mo at 15 different websites that I visit infrequently. maybe I'd spend my UBI on websites asking for money. Who knows.

crooked-v 8y ago

Describing disability benefits as "UBI-like programs" seems way off the mark to me, starting with "welfare cliff" problems and going from there.

rootusrootus 8y ago

Perhaps a difference with UBI would be the ubiquitousness of it. You'd know way before you even entered the job market what the score was. Thanks for the links in your other post, I will take a look. I admit that I have Star Trek dreams of post-scarcity happiness, but I'm willing to change my mind if there is credible evidence to suggest my hopes are misplaced. I wasn't aware that there were any decent UBI experiments that had been done at scale, lately they all seem to be very limited and aborted early. Maybe I'll just have to scale back and pin my hopes on Medicare For All. Would be nice to detach medical coverage from employment, IMO.

simonsarris 8y ago
> I admit that I have Star Trek dreams of post-scarcity happiness I think a lot of us, here on Hacker News, do. I kinda worry that's part of the problem. But you and me and Sam Altman, etc, are not representative of society at large. I was thinking of the HN crowd (myself included) when I wrote this part: > Just as you can find Silicon Valley techies who think Soylent is the only sustenance a person will ever need, intellectuals tend to think everyone could be as content as they would be living life in their heads or inventing their own destiny. Most people need to be doing something to feel satisfied and a potential UBI system addresses this need just as inadequately as disability checks do now. Cue drug epidemics. I think average people need more direction than that. I don't think that's a bad thing, but I think its a much more serious problem than the average person's relationship with money. Put another way, the problems of today and the near future are not primarily ones of money. They are ones of community and meaning. By most available data, even the poorest in the USA are doing OK on the money front, though its obviously not ideal! Some cites on that claim can be found here: https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/937200378919055360 https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/937200378919055360 So I worry UBI is solving the wrong problem first, and might make the real problem a little or a lot worse, depending on how the job landscape changes.

michaelscott 8y ago

The case of the farmers is not the same as UBI. The farmers are not being freed from the shackles of work, they're shackled to not working. UBI doesn't exclude the ability to do what you've trained and often lived for since, as in the case of many farmers, they were young.

jrnichols 8y ago

Way off topic, but I have noticed that Medium is now doing that "you have 4 free articles.." garbage now too, which is very disappointing. The article you linked to has 2 parts, and while it was interesting, there went 2 of my 3 "free" articles. I cannot afford $5/mo at 15 different websites that I visit infrequently. maybe I'd spend my UBI on websites asking for money. Who knows.